RiseSmart’s big game predictor has achieved 76% accuracy rate over past 37 years

SAN JOSE, Calif., January 23, 2018 — According to a prediction by leading provider of contemporary career transition services, RiseSmart, the team winning the 2018 National Football League Championship game will be from New England. RiseSmart’s Big Game Predictor holds that the winning team will be from the city with the lower unemployment rate. This year, Boston holds a 3.0 percent unemployment rate, and will, therefore, beat Philadelphia, which has a 4.4 percent unemployment rate, according to RiseSmart.

In 2017, RiseSmart successfully predicted New England’s triumph over Atlanta. This is the eighth consecutive year RiseSmart has issued its Big Game Predictor, which is based upon unemployment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). RiseSmart has found that in the majority of past games, the team whose fan base enjoys greater economic prosperity, as measured by lower unemployment rates, is the team to win the Big Game. With this prediction methodology, RiseSmart is on a winning streak, achieving a 76 percent accuracy rate over the past 37 championship games.

Of all the years RiseSmart has made a prediction, the team from New England has provided the most upsets, defying the Big Game predictor four times in the last 37 years. RiseSmart’s accurate prediction in 2017 leads skeptics to believe that RiseSmart’s Big Game prediction must be more than a coincidence.

A look at predicting Big Game 52

The team with the lowest unemployment rate has won 28 of the past 37 Big Games. The lesson? Never underestimate the power of having a job.

Big GameWinnerJobless Rate (%)LoserJobless Rate (%)Correct


1982San Francisco6.1Cincinnati8.7Y


1984L.A. Raiders9.7Washington5.2N

1985San Francisco5.3Miami7.8Y

1986Chicago8.3New England3.4N

1987N.Y. Giants5.5Denver6.6N


1989San Francisco3.6Cincinnati5.1Y

1990San Francisco3.3Denver5.4Y

1991New York5.5Buffalo5.3N




1995San Francisco5.9San Diego7.1Y


1997Green Bay3.4New England4.1Y

1998Denver2.9Green Bay3.3Y


2000St. Louis3.5Tennessee2.9N

2001Baltimore3.8New York4.4Y

2002New England3.6St. Louis4.6Y

2003Tampa Bay5.6Oakland6.2Y

2004New England5.7Carolina6.3Y

2005New England5.0Philadelphia5.1Y



2008New York4.4New England4.1N


2010New Orleans6.5Indianapolis8.7Y

2011Green Bay7.7Pittsburgh8Y

2012New York8.5New England6.6N

2013Baltimore7.2San Francisco8.1Y


2015New England5.4Seattle5.3N


2017New England2.4Atlanta4.8Y

“We are rooting for cities who keep people employed and are able get their people back to work quickly – after all, our mission is to help people find jobs faster than the national average,” said Dan Davenport, president and general manager, RiseSmart. “2018 is shaping up to be a strong year for businesses across the U.S., with employment rates much lower than years past. Let’s see if these rates are once again indicative of who will win the Big Game!” View BLS metropolitan unemployment rates and the correlating teams over the past 37 years in a colorful Big Game infographic.
For more information, visit the RiseSmart website.

About RiseSmart:

RiseSmart, a Randstad company, is the leading provider of contemporary career transition services for organizations in more than 40 industries and 80 countries. The first outplacement and redeployment provider to recognize, and respond to, the new Employee Relationship Economy, RiseSmart’s “beginning to beginning” approach combines dedicated career coaching and personal branding with patented technology and tools to support transitioning employees. RiseSmart partners with HR teams and provides onsite support, specialized training and secure reporting in a results-oriented approach. Founded in 2007, RiseSmart delivers landing rates exceeding 80 percent and time-to-placement 60 percent faster than national averages. The company has earned awards and recognition from more than a dozen organizations, including Bersin by Deloitte, Gartner Inc., the Brandon Hall Group and Fortune magazine. For more information, visit www.risesmart.com.

Media Contact:
Jocelyn Linde


23 January 2018

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